U.S. Frost Dates by Weather Station

NOAA station USC00444044 · Virginia

Frost Dates for Holland, VA

NOAA weather station Holland 1 E (USC00444044), Virginia · elevation 80 ft (24 m) · hardiness zone 8a*

  • Lower-risk planting dateafter April 25only 1 spring in 10 still has a frost later
  • Typical last frostApril 750% chance of a frost after it
  • Typical first fall frostNovember 250% chance of a frost before it
  • Frost-free season208 daystypical year, 32°F
  • Hardiness zone8acalculated*

The year at a glance

Frost season at Holland, VASpring: a frost after March 22 in 9 years out of 10, after April 7 in half of the years, after April 25 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before October 19 in 1 year out of 10, before November 2 in half of the years, before November 15 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 208 days.JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLast frost ~Apr 7First frost ~Nov 2Frost season at Holland, VASpring: a frost after March 22 in 9 years out of 10, after April 7 in half of the years, after April 25 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before October 19 in 1 year out of 10, before November 2 in half of the years, before November 15 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 208 days.JFMAMJJASONDLast frost ~Apr 7First frost ~Nov 2
frost likely chance fading 90% → 10% frost-free in a typical yearThe year at a glance. Blue: frost is likely; the gradient fades as the chance drops from 90% to 10%; green: the frost-free part of a typical year.

Frost dates (32°F)

Probability of frost, based on 25 years of NOAA records (1991–2020 normals)
ChanceLast frost in spring afterFirst frost in fall before
10% (unlikely)April 25October 19
50% (typical)April 7November 2
90% (likely)March 22November 15
Frost-free season (32°F, 50% chance)
208 days
Hard frost (28°F), last in spring, 50% chance after
March 25
Hard frost (28°F), first in fall, 50% chance before
November 12

The last 15 years (2006–2020 normals)

Typical last frost April 7 (same as the 30-year normal), typical first fall frost November 3 (1 day later). Frost-free season 210 days.

A shorter, more recent NOAA period. The 30-year normals above remain the main reference: 15 years carry more year-to-year noise.

Add these dates to your calendar Yearly reminders for the typical last frost, the lower-risk planting date and the typical first fall frost (.ics).

How the chance of frost changes with the date

Spring at Holland: chance of a frost after this dateSpring, chance of a frost after the date: 10% April 25, 20% April 18, 30% April 14, 40% April 10, 50% April 7, 60% April 4, 70% April 1, 80% March 29, 90% March 22.Spring: last frostChance of a frost after this date10%50%90%Apr 1May 1Apr 25Apr 7Mar 22Fall at Holland: chance of a frost before this dateFall, chance of a frost before the date: 10% October 19, 20% October 24, 30% October 27, 40% October 31, 50% November 2, 60% November 4, 70% November 7, 80% November 10, 90% November 15.Fall: first frostChance of a frost before this date10%50%90%Nov 1Oct 19Nov 2Nov 15
Two charts, because spring and fall answer different questions: in spring, the chance that a frost still comes after a date; in fall, the chance that the first frost has already come before it. NOAA publishes these odds from 10% to 90%, so the lines stop there.

What these dates mean

Setting out tender crops on March 22 in Holland is a gamble, because there is a 90% chance of a light frost occurring later.

The 50% hard-frost date is March 25, meaning there is a 50% chance of a hard frost later than that date, and the 50% hard-frost date is November 12, meaning there is a 50% chance of a hard frost earlier than that date. Gardeners who prefer lower risk wait until the cautious spring date of April 25 to set out tender crops, and they aim to finish harvesting tender crops by the cautious fall date of October 19.

A hard frost at 28 °F can kill plants that would otherwise survive a light frost at 32 °F.

How to read the probabilities

The dates are probabilities from 30 years of weather, not a forecast for this year.

  • Spring: "10% after April 25" means that in about one spring out of ten a frost still happens after that date. The 90% date is the earliest: a frost after it happens in most years.
  • Fall: "10% before October 19" means that in about one fall out of ten the first frost arrives before that date.
  • 50% is the typical date: half of the years are earlier, half are later.
  • A light frost (32°F) damages tender plants; a hard frost (28°F) also stops most hardy vegetables.

Nearby weather stations

Map of weather stations near Holland, VANumbered nearest stations: 1 — near Suffolk, VA — 10 mi; 2 — Wakefield, VA — 25 mi; 3 — Norfolk, VA — 35 mi; 4 — Williamsburg, VA — 43 mi; 5 — Emporia, VA — 44 mi.NC25 mi · 40 km1. near Suffolk, VA — 10 mi12. Wakefield, VA — 25 mi23. Norfolk, VA — 35 mi34. Williamsburg, VA — 43 mi45. Emporia, VA — 44 mi5
  1. near Suffolk, VA 10 mi (16 km)
  2. Wakefield, VA 25 mi (40 km)
  3. Norfolk, VA 35 mi (57 km)
  4. Williamsburg, VA 43 mi (69 km)
  5. Emporia, VA 44 mi (71 km)

Sources

* Hardiness zone 8a: zone derived from PRISM 2023 grid at the station location (not the official USDA map). Source data: PRISM Group, Oregon State University.

Station coordinates: 36.6831, -76.7683.