U.S. Frost Dates by Weather Station

NOAA station USC00403074 · Tennessee

Frost Dates for Fayetteville, TN

NOAA weather station Fayetteville WTP (USC00403074), Tennessee · elevation 742 ft (226 m) · hardiness zone 7b*

  • Lower-risk planting dateafter April 22only 1 spring in 10 still has a frost later
  • Typical last frostApril 750% chance of a frost after it
  • Typical first fall frostOctober 2850% chance of a frost before it
  • Frost-free season201 daystypical year, 32°F
  • Hardiness zone7bcalculated*

The year at a glance

Frost season at Fayetteville, TNSpring: a frost after March 19 in 9 years out of 10, after April 7 in half of the years, after April 22 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before October 13 in 1 year out of 10, before October 28 in half of the years, before November 10 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 201 days.JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecLast frost ~Apr 7First frost ~Oct 28Frost season at Fayetteville, TNSpring: a frost after March 19 in 9 years out of 10, after April 7 in half of the years, after April 22 in 1 year out of 10. Fall: the first frost comes before October 13 in 1 year out of 10, before October 28 in half of the years, before November 10 in 9 years out of 10. Typical frost-free season: 201 days.JFMAMJJASONDLast frost ~Apr 7First frost ~Oct 28
frost likely chance fading 90% → 10% frost-free in a typical yearThe year at a glance. Blue: frost is likely; the gradient fades as the chance drops from 90% to 10%; green: the frost-free part of a typical year.

Frost dates (32°F)

Probability of frost, based on 29 years of NOAA records (1991–2020 normals)
ChanceLast frost in spring afterFirst frost in fall before
10% (unlikely)April 22October 13
50% (typical)April 7October 28
90% (likely)March 19November 10
Frost-free season (32°F, 50% chance)
201 days
Hard frost (28°F), last in spring, 50% chance after
March 27
Hard frost (28°F), first in fall, 50% chance before
November 6

The last 15 years (2006–2020 normals)

Typical last frost April 7 (same as the 30-year normal), typical first fall frost October 28. Frost-free season 203 days.

A shorter, more recent NOAA period. The 30-year normals above remain the main reference: 15 years carry more year-to-year noise.

Add these dates to your calendar Yearly reminders for the typical last frost, the lower-risk planting date and the typical first fall frost (.ics).

How the chance of frost changes with the date

Spring at Fayetteville: chance of a frost after this dateSpring, chance of a frost after the date: 10% April 22, 20% April 18, 30% April 13, 40% April 10, 50% April 7, 60% April 4, 70% April 1, 80% March 28, 90% March 19. Observed last spring frost in recent years: 2021 April 22, 2022 April 10, 2023 April 25, 2024 April 6, 2025 April 13, 2026 March 18.Spring: last frostChance of a frost after this date10%50%90%Apr 1May 1Apr 22Apr 7Mar 192021: April 222022: April 102023: April 252024: April 62025: April 132026: March 18Fall at Fayetteville: chance of a frost before this dateFall, chance of a frost before the date: 10% October 13, 20% October 18, 30% October 21, 40% October 25, 50% October 28, 60% October 31, 70% November 2, 80% November 5, 90% November 10. Observed first fall frost in recent years: 2021 November 5, 2022 October 9, 2023 November 1, 2024 October 16, 2025 November 10.Fall: first frostChance of a frost before this date10%50%90%Oct 1Nov 1Oct 13Oct 28Nov 102021: November 52022: October 92023: November 12024: October 162025: November 10
Two charts, because spring and fall answer different questions: in spring, the chance that a frost still comes after a date; in fall, the chance that the first frost has already come before it. NOAA publishes these odds from 10% to 90%, so the lines stop there. ◆ marks the actual date in each recent year.

What actually happened in recent years

Observed dates of the last spring and first fall frost (32°F) at this station; ◆ marks them on the charts above
YearLast spring frostFirst fall frost
2021April 22November 5
2022April 10October 9
2023April 25November 1
2024April 6October 16
2025April 13November 10
2026March 18season not over yet

What these dates mean

April 22 is the cautious spring date, with only a 10 % chance of a light frost later. This lets a gardener plan to set out tender crops with minimal risk of frost damage.

The 50% date is April 7; a 50 % chance of a light frost later than this date. The 50% date is October 28; a 50 % chance of a light frost earlier than this date. The 50% hard-frost dates are March 27 in spring and November 6 in fall. October 13 is the cautious fall date, carrying a 10 % chance of a light frost earlier and allowing a gardener to finish harvesting tender crops. A hard frost at 28 °F can kill plants that survive a light frost at 32 °F.

How to read the probabilities

The dates are probabilities from 30 years of weather, not a forecast for this year.

  • Spring: "10% after April 22" means that in about one spring out of ten a frost still happens after that date. The 90% date is the earliest: a frost after it happens in most years.
  • Fall: "10% before October 13" means that in about one fall out of ten the first frost arrives before that date.
  • 50% is the typical date: half of the years are earlier, half are later.
  • A light frost (32°F) damages tender plants; a hard frost (28°F) also stops most hardy vegetables.

Nearby weather stations

Map of weather stations near Fayetteville, TNNumbered nearest stations: 1 — Tullahoma, TN — 24 mi; 2 — Lewisburg, TN — 24 mi; 3 — near Shelbyville, TN — 25 mi; 4 — Pulaski, TN — 28 mi; 5 — Athens, AL — 34 mi.GA25 mi · 40 km1. Tullahoma, TN — 24 mi12. Lewisburg, TN — 24 mi23. near Shelbyville, TN — 25 mi34. Pulaski, TN — 28 mi45. Athens, AL — 34 mi5
  1. Tullahoma, TN 24 mi (38 km)
  2. Lewisburg, TN 24 mi (39 km)
  3. near Shelbyville, TN 25 mi (40 km)
  4. Pulaski, TN 28 mi (46 km)
  5. Athens, AL 34 mi (55 km)

Sources

* Hardiness zone 7b: zone derived from PRISM 2023 grid at the station location (not the official USDA map). Source data: PRISM Group, Oregon State University.

Station coordinates: 35.1342, -86.5419.